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is there any mathematical formula, paper or anything that shows the probabiltyprobability of a meteor hitting a particular spot of moon's surface?

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is there any mathetmaticalmathematical formula, paper or anything that shows the probabilty of a meteor hitting a particular spot of moon's surface?

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is there any mathetmatical formula, paper or anything that shows the probabilty of a meteor hitting a particular spot of moon's surface?

According to this article http://news.nationalgeographic.com/2016/02/160209-meteorite-death-india-probability-odds/ a science professor at Tulane University made a paper to calculate the probability of a person being hit by a meteor on Earth . And also an astronomer made a calculation (not mentioning the procedure) with a similar figure. My question is, since the moon has no atmosphere and more meteors reach the surface, is there any mathematical formula, paper, etc. to calculate how likely a spot in moon's surface it's likely to be hit by a meteor?