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Due to accelerating cosmic inflation, other galaxies and galaxy clusters will eventually race toward the Hubble horizon apparently away from us, placing them effectively out of our sphere of influence. Due to Virgocentric flow, nearby galaxies, including our own, may become gravitationally bound to the Virgo Supercluster, resisting cosmic expansion (for at least some time).

My question is, Is there any hypothetical time-frame for when this event happens? That is, in what supposed number of billions or trillions of years will the Virgo Supercluster become the only region within the Hubble sphere with which we may interact with?

Edit: Is such an estimate currently impossible? I know I've read one in the past, I just don't remember it well. Somewhen in the ballpark of a trillion years. All I'm looking for is an educated guess.

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I don't know how to calculate but Wikipedia has a page about it:

Timeline of the Universe

The galaxies in the Local Group, the cluster of galaxies which includes the Milky Way and the Andromeda Galaxy, are gravitationally bound to each other. It is expected that between 10^11 (100 billion) and 10^12 (1 trillion) years from now, their orbits will decay and the entire Local Group will merge into one large galaxy.[4]

Assuming that dark energy continues to make the universe expand at an accelerating rate, in about 150 billion years all galaxies outside the Local Supercluster will pass behind the cosmological horizon. It will then be impossible for events in the Local Group to affect other galaxies. Similarly it will be impossible for events after 150 billion years, as seen by observers in distant galaxies, to affect events in the Local Group.[3] However, an observer in the Local Supercluster will continue to see distant galaxies, but events they observe will become exponentially more red shifted as the galaxy approaches the horizon until time in the distant galaxy seems to stop. The observer in the Local Supercluster never observes events after 150 billion years in their local time, and eventually all light and background radiation lying outside the local supercluster will appear to blink out as light becomes so redshifted that its wavelength has become longer than the physical diameter of the horizon.

Technically, it will take an infinitely long time for all casual interaction between our local supercluster and this light; however, due to a the redshifting explained above, the light will not necessarily be observed fit an infinite amount of time, and after 150 billion years, no new causal interaction will be observed.

Therefore, after 150 billion years intergalactic transportation and communication beyond the Local Supercluster becomes causally impossible.

This wikipedia data, comes from here, which is used in the text as reference (4)

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  • $\begingroup$ What do you mean by stable? I understand that things don't actually "cross" the horizon—everything that ever was in our observable universe will always remain in the observable universe, and that the observable universe will always grow with time. Do you suggest that at some point in the future the cosmological horizon will stop receding from us, relatively? $\endgroup$ – Brayden Fox Jan 8 at 17:02
  • $\begingroup$ Stable means that the radius of the cosmic event horizon will not change after 16 billion years later. $\endgroup$ – Reign Jan 8 at 17:25
  • $\begingroup$ As you can see from the graph after 16 billion years later Hubble radius will be the radius of the cosmic event horizon. The cosmic event horizon is like a black hole horizon. Their light will never reach us and will be redshifted forever. $\endgroup$ – Reign Jan 8 at 17:32
  • $\begingroup$ Hey, I find the answer to your question, so I edited my post, its much better then my previous answer.. $\endgroup$ – Reign Jan 10 at 7:22
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    $\begingroup$ Great! This is indeed the right answer, or probably about as right as an answer can get currently. Thanks! $\endgroup$ – Brayden Fox Jan 10 at 12:56

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