The equatorial plane moves over time with respect to the plane of the ecliptic (that's precession!). The ecliptic is at an angle with the galactic plane, but does this angle change over time? Does the ecliptic plane have a precession of sorts with respect to the galactic plane?
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$\begingroup$ The ecliptic precesses relative to the invariable plane of the Solar System. Also see astronomy.stackexchange.com/q/16187/16685 $\endgroup$– PM 2RingJun 16, 2021 at 14:08
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2$\begingroup$ So I guess you're probably more interested in knowing if the invariable plane precesses relative to the galactic plane. $\endgroup$– PM 2RingJun 16, 2021 at 14:09
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1$\begingroup$ @PM2Ring I guess my question is rather about the invariable plane rather than the ecliptic. $\endgroup$– usernumberJun 18, 2021 at 7:43
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$\begingroup$ Great. Can you please make that clear by updating your question? $\endgroup$– PM 2RingJun 18, 2021 at 8:05
1 Answer
As mentioned by James K in this answer, the inclination of the ecliptic plane to the invariable plane of the Solar System varies by ~3°, over a very long time scale.
The invariable plane itself is very stable relative to the International Celestial Reference Frame (ICRF).
The ICRF creates a quasi-inertial frame of reference centered at the barycenter of the Solar System, whose axes are defined by the measured positions of extragalactic sources (mainly quasars) observed using very long baseline interferometry.
Although general relativity implies that there are no true inertial frames around gravitating bodies, the ICRF is important because it does not exhibit any measurable angular motion since the extragalactic sources used to define the ICRF are so far away. The ICRF is now the standard reference frame used to define the positions of the planets (including the Earth) and other astronomical objects.
As Wikipedia mentions, the invariable plane is perturbed due to the anisotropic loss of material from the Solar System, and the radiation of gravitational waves. It's also affected by torques exerted by neighbouring stars. But all of those perturbations are minute.
This excellent paper from the journal Astronomy & Astrophysics, The solar system’s invariable plane, by D. Souami and J. Souchay, (A&A 543, A133 (2012)) has a lot of information about the stability of the invariable plane. They calculate, using two different high precision ephemerides, that the variation of the inclination of the invariable plane relative to the ICRF is a little over 2 microarc-seconds per year.
With respect to the ICRF, we clearly observe a linear trend of $i$ as a function of time, at a rate of $-2".365252 × 10^{-6}/y$ ($-2".255406 × 10^{-6}/y$, respectively) over the entire available time span of the ephemeris DE405 (Fig. 2(a)) and INPOP10a (Fig. 2(b))
Temporal variations Δi and ΔΩ in the orientation of the invariable plane with respect to the ICRF, where Δi is given with respect to the equator of the ICRF by using DE405 a) and INPOP10a b), where ΔΩ is given with respect to the origin-equator of the ICRF by using of DE405 c) and INPOP10a d).
That paper is fairly technical, and hopefully I haven't misinterpreted it. ;)
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$\begingroup$ So the ICRF moves relative to extra-galactic quasars. But does it move relative to the galactic plane? $\endgroup$ Jul 12, 2021 at 16:57
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$\begingroup$ @usernumber The ICRF "does not exhibit any measurable angular motion" relative to the reference quasars. And "the variation of the inclination of the invariable plane relative to the ICRF is a little over 2 microarc-seconds per year". OTOH, our galaxy is moving relative to other galaxies, but I do not know how much angular motion there is relative to those quasars. However, motion due to the expansion of the universe is essentially linear, with minute perturbations due to gravity. $\endgroup$– PM 2RingJul 17, 2021 at 2:16