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1

The page you link to and the paper refer to PCM (the Point Circle Method), and the PCM treats the orbits of two objects as circular, concentric, and coplanar. If planets in a system had odd (and probably unstable) orbits, this might not be the case. The PCM method treats the planet's position at any given time as a uniform probabilistic distribution. That ...


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[This is complementary answer to Justin Tackett answer. I felt somewhat compelled in light of the comments (even after edits), and to illustrate my example (referenced in the answer) with a diagram.] I say there are 2 naïve situations where the innermost planet is not the closet. In the attached illustration there are only 2 planets and I consider the ...


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